Monday, June 7, 2010

BP's Cap-to-Tanker Collection Rate Confirms Previous Oil Spill Barrels Per Day Estimates Were Low

The good news is that oil seems to be flowing through the collection cap into the BP tanker at a rate of more than 11,000 barrels per day. Better into that tanker than into the Gulf of Mexico. The bad news is the same old bad news, that we won't have a more permanent fix until August via relief wells.

While that's good news that BP's barrels per day collection via cap is up to 11,100 barrels and may go as high as 20,000 BPD, I saw this latest news and thought, "Hey! Doesn't that settle the dispute that government and BP estimates were low?" Consider again that the cap collection will still leak some oil into the Gulf.

Why, yes it does, answers this Reuters report:
(Coast Guard Admiral Thad) Allen said government scientists are working to establish a more solid leak rate. He said BP hoped to bring in 20,000 barrels per day from the well -- a comment that indicated government estimates of a flow of 12,000 to 19,000 barrels daily were low.
And since, as has already been stated, the cap does not collect all the oil that's leaking, I can't help but remember the mid-May stories about low estimates of leakage like this one from NPR:
Steven Wereley, an associate professor of mechanical engineering at Purdue University, analyzed videotape of the seafloor gusher using a technique called particle image velocimetry. ... A computer program simply tracks particles and calculates how fast they are moving. Wereley put the BP video of the gusher into his computer. He made a few simple calculations and came up with an astonishing value for the rate of the oil spill: 70,000 barrels a day — much higher than the official estimate of 5,000 barrels a day. ... The method is accurate to a degree of plus or minus 20 percent.
The story also tells us to remember it's not all oil we see gushing on the video stream.

On alternative sources of energy: Yesterday, I saw the following video at the Political Carnival. It features a conservative Republican, Paul Noel, who is a software engineer and government contractor said to be an oil expert. He's hard to follow at times, engineer-y talk, and while I can't agree with all he says, his conclusion is that we have to get off oil.

Yes, that will take years to accomplish, he says, but it's common sense to start using alternative energy sources and prepare to stop using oil. And he says he's not against drilling for oil, but we don't have to do what we're doing regarding oil dependency.

"Common sense," he says; however, he's in Alabama. I know some of my fellow residents of Louisiana can't fathom not being oil dependent.

At YouTube it says this video shows as posted by OsborneInk. I post it because it reminds us getting off oil should not be a right or left issue, but a common good issue.

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